I have been following Juan Villaverde with Weiss Crypto for years now.

I am a Huge Fan of his Bitcoin 320 Day Cycles and his overall market analysis. He also has a partner in the Research Department, Dr. Bruce Ng. I am going to give you some excerpts from an article that Dr. Bruce wrote and then will give you a link to the entire article.

It goes into depth on the 2016 Bitcoin Halving Cycle and the 2020 Bitcoin Halving Cycle all with detailed information leading up to the halving, the corrections and the parabolic runs.

If Historical Data serves us well, everything that is happening as I am writing this article is 100% Completely Expected and holding true to the last 2 halving events. So with that said, I am relaxed and will continue to do what I do with my own trading / investing and will also "with a calm hand" write the rest of this article.

Avoid Pre-Halving Volatility with 3 Steps

By Dr. Bruce Ng On April 16, 2024

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"Have you set your calendar yet? The next Bitcoin (BTC, “A”) halving is estimated to occur on April 20. That’s in just four days. The halving, which takes place every four years, cuts the BTC reward that miners get for validating a block on the blockchain. In effect, it cuts the production of new BTC in half. That’s why it’s usually a bullish event — a cut in supply could drive prices higher.And it’s why we’re eagerly anticipating this halving, as demand for BTC has skyrocketed thanks to institutional interest from the new spot exchange-traded funds.But that’s the big picture. In the near term, the halving tends to stir up a whirlpool of volatility.

And even seasoned traders can lose their perspective when caught up in the storm. The unending speculation from talking heads rarely helps, either. So today, I want to take the resources we have — the market’s past performance leading up to and following a halving along with recent price action — to see if we can’t get a feel for how this volatility could shake out. My goal? To help you fight the FUD — fear, uncertainty and doubt — that the volatility will bring. So, let’s get started with the two most recent halving events. First up is the 2016 halving. Below is a chart of the price action throughout 2016, with the event itself marked by the vertical red bar …"

2016 Bitcoin Halving Chart:

And here is a chart of BTC’s price over 2020,

with that year’s halving also marked by a red bar.

As you can see, the price action before and after each halving is very similar. In fact, they reveal a set pattern:

• First there is a rally before the halving.
• Then, prices dump as we close in on the halving.
• Price then recovers nearly back to pre-halving ATH on the day of the halving itself. 
• This is followed by sideways price action for a few months. 
• And the final parabolic rally in the fall.

That’s a fair bit of volatility as price trends change like the wind! 

And we’re already feeling some of that in this go-around. Take a look at the recent BTC price action …

Read the Entire Article (Click the Link Below to READ the entire Post)

The article has a TON of great information and advice.

I am not as CONSERVATIVE as Dr. Ng is suggesting investors should be. I have learned over the years that we all have our own styles, risk aversions (or lack of them) and "At the End of the Day" (argggh, hate that saying) each of us has to manage our own trades and investments and we are ultimately responsible for our own investment decisions. (None of what I write is intended to be financial advice in any way)

Simply Sharing my own Experiences!

My Conclusion on the Bitcoin Halving Cycles: (Past, Present and Future) 

For me I take it all in, but then look at the charts and the current market dynamics and have a little different perspective. This is my 3rd Halving Event. The first one for me (2016) was just a BLUR. A seasoned investor, but a newb to cryptocurrency. The 2nd one, (2020) I was READY and LOADED for BEAR. (Literally, but Bearish Traders). I did well with $BTC.X & $ETH.X and got super lucky with Solana (got in Solana in December of 2020 by sheer "chance") and had been adding Polygon Networks / Matic for awhile.

I had a pretty broad BAG of the "Usual Suspects". Avalanche, Wrapped LUNA, XRP, XLM, DOGE and about another dozen REGULARS. Nothing that was SUPER HIDDEN or OFF the Radar.

And I did Great. Sold a TON of Solana at close to the TOP ($240ish) and held on to some since my cost basis was SO Low. I did hold on to Matic too long. (Lesson Learned) But it ended up being a super profitable cycle and greater than the PROFITS the experience I gained was invaluable.

Because of that process, I developed a completely different strategy going into this Bull Cycle.

Was Smart and Aware Enough to know to ADD Solana on the SEC Scare Dip and then put my STOCK Investing / Trading on the back burner in September 2023 and got Super Serious about FINDING a Ton of Generation 2 & 3 Type Cryptos before anybody was thinking about ALT Season Accumulation.

And keep in Mind, some of this was happening as far back as 2022 and then in January 2023 I found Kaspa and bought at .0058. Bought a TON. But in DOLLARS then only about $1100 Worth. I had read some articles on BlockDAG and went on the "Hidden Gem" Hunt. KASPA Bagged Cheap!

Fast Forward back to Fall 2023... Started going Wide and Deep. Adding on the Cheap.

$AIOZ.X: Added a BIG BAG at .012 (High of .93 in March 2024) Not Bad. (Still holding 80%)

$PNG.X: A Ton on the Cheap and HOLDING a FULL "FREE" Position. (4X Profit to Holding from Trading)

In total I amassed about 75 +/- Assets that I am holding as of today.

If you want my Tradingview Watchlist, simply email me

and in the SUBJECT LINE add: "Send me a Link to Your Tradingview Watchlist"

You will NEED Tradingview to ACCESS the "Shared Link"

Beyond the above, I employed a unique "3 Bucket" per Category Trading Strategy that I termed:

My "TOP to BOTTOM Method" and also employed an AGGRESSIVE "OPEN LANE Strategy".

These allowed me to 6X my Portfolio from Fall to Early 2024. 

Beyond that I was using $BITO, $BITX and $BITI (Hedge) to GROW one of my Traditional Market Accounts and at one point in March I was UP over 7,000% solely trading CALL Options DIRECTIONALLY on Bitcoin.

BITO is the Proshares Bitcoin Futures Trading Strategy ETF. During Periods of almost 100% Bullishness, I would ADD or Switch to BITX which is the same ETF but with 2X Leverage. Effectively doubling the POWER of the BITO Options. *** FYI: They do have the SHORT Versions of BITO in BITI. And also a 2X Leverage BITI in SBIT. I will be employing this STRATEGY for the duration (meaning FOREVER) regardless of Bitcoin Phase (Bullish or Bearish). Now keep in mind, it is NOT without Risks if you are NOT a Seasoned Options Trader.

But with the proper training and approach it is a piece of cake.

I will be publishing a FULL Online Training Course on trading BITO and BITX Options in the near future.

I will initially be OFFERING the Course of a SUPER LOW Cost of $9.99.

Why so CHEAP?

I want to PUT the knowledge in as many hands as possible, simply to help crypto investors.

I use the Funds from my BITO/BITX Options Trading as a Constant Source of "DRY POWDER" to fuel the funds for more options, as well as buying FREE Shares of Coinbase and Bitcoin ETF Shares.

I prefer BTCO (Invesco Bitcoin ETF) and ARKB (Ark Bitcoin ETF) for 2 Reasons:

1. Roughly .001 Ratio to Bitcoin Price
2. Low FEES.

And for those that do Trade In and Out of the Bitcoin ETFs and have a smaller account under the $25K Pattern Day Trading (PDT) Threshold, you can BUY One today and SELL (Scalp) and BUY the other one BACK without incurring a PDT Day Trade Penalty.

FYI: You can do the same with OPTIONS, simply by closing one trade and simply picking a strike that is .50 higher or lower. And keep the same EXPIRE Date. Just a few little tips and tricks for small account traders.

A quick note back on the OPTIONS, I have people ask me about ENTRIES.

Anybody that follows me on StockTwits knows that I am very tuned into "FINE" Entries and Exits.

I use an entire cadre' of tradingview indicators to guide me there. I even write a handful of my own algo/indicators. (Tip: ChatGPT is Great at writing Pine Script)

Lastly, if you are a FREE Subscriber to my NEWSLETTER you will automatically get a DISCOUNT CODE to get the OPTIONS Trading Course for $9.99 and I will be adding another BONUS to allow you to add ALL of the Trading Strategies I mentioned about for $9.99 (All of it for under $20 Bucks) "NO BRAINER"

I will also be releasing a "Finding Crypto Hidden Gems" Research & Identification Training!

Email Me @ info@cryptojamz.com if you are interested in getting notified of that training.

If you would like to be part of our PREMIUM "Shared Services" Private Group you can Learn More about that after signing up for the FREE NEWSLETTER.

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